Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

nicebutdim
Posts: 249
Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2007 9:25 am

Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by nicebutdim » Sun Nov 17, 2013 2:38 pm

Just seen this in the Express and they were right last year,anyone have any knowledge on this by subscribing to something like Metcheck as that's all we need.I'd like to think its all about selling newspapers but after last year prediction not so sure

stephenprudence

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by stephenprudence » Sun Nov 17, 2013 2:47 pm

No chance of anything even close to 1947/1963/1981 or even 2010.

:wink:

It will be cold though... I think if it all goes pear shaped, we'll get something like 2001 (lots of frost and ice, not much snow), or 2009 perhaps. At the moment it's looking like 2005.. lots of clear, dry weather, but without many hard frosts widespread (only relatively light frosts). Although sheltered areas (in the west) will get hard frosts.

nicebutdim
Posts: 249
Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2007 9:25 am

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by nicebutdim » Sun Nov 17, 2013 2:54 pm

stephenprudence wrote:No chance of anything even close to 1947/1963/1981 or even 2010.

:wink:

It will be cold though... I think if it all goes pear shaped, we'll get something like 2001 (lots of frost and ice, not much snow), or 2009 perhaps. At the moment it's looking like 2005.. lots of clear, dry weather, but without many hard frosts widespread (only relatively light frosts). Although sheltered areas (in the west) will get hard frosts.

Relieved to see that, but wondering why you are so confident,if you are right then you've made my day

Nigel

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by Nigel » Sun Nov 17, 2013 4:03 pm

nicebutdim wrote:Just seen this in the Express and they were right last year,anyone have any knowledge on this by subscribing to something like Metcheck as that's all we need.I'd like to think its all about selling newspapers but after last year prediction not so sure
At end of October, according to the Daily Express, November was going to be worst in a century with heavy snow and ice.
They need to sell some more papers.

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Adam D
Posts: 3574
Joined: Tue Jul 14, 2009 10:47 pm
Location: Scotland

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by Adam D » Sun Nov 17, 2013 4:44 pm

stephenprudence wrote:No chance of anything even close to 1947/1963/1981 or even 2010.

:wink:

It will be cold though... I think if it all goes pear shaped, we'll get something like 2001 (lots of frost and ice, not much snow), or 2009 perhaps. At the moment it's looking like 2005.. lots of clear, dry weather, but without many hard frosts widespread (only relatively light frosts). Although sheltered areas (in the west) will get hard frosts.
I am not sure what it was like down south but winter 2000/01 was cold and snowy up here.

Dec 2000 was cold and snowy followed by a very cold and snowy Feb 2001 - we saw about a foot of snow and it hit -14C in Perth.

So, a repeat of that would not be welcome.

stephenprudence

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by stephenprudence » Sun Nov 17, 2013 4:55 pm

2001 was often clear with sunshine and frosts, some inversion days.. not much snow, however I think the southeast of England got one or two notable snowfalls. The lowest temperature here that winter was -6C (-5.8C)

billdango

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by billdango » Sun Nov 17, 2013 5:02 pm

Hardly saw any snow in Southampton that winter [2000-2001]and the lowest I recorded was about -5c on one night only.

I do remember a lot of chilly wet and windy days however with a couple of severe storms.

No plants were lost in my garden so it wasn't that bad I suppose.

billdango :D

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Adam D
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Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by Adam D » Sun Nov 17, 2013 5:35 pm

I lost a tree fern and the spear on one of my trachies pulled in that winter, but it came back later in the summer.

Kristen

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by Kristen » Sun Nov 17, 2013 5:43 pm

nicebutdim wrote:Just seen this in the Express and they were right last year
They were?

This year they said "Worse winter for a generation" last year it was "Worst winter for 100 years".

Image

Why anyone wastes money buying that claptrap beats me ...

08 October 2011:

Image

02 November 2011:

Image

and then 14 November 2011:

Image

April 2013 - the summer (just gone) will be the worst drought on record

Image

Complete and utter claptrap

stephenprudence

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by stephenprudence » Sun Nov 17, 2013 6:21 pm

Winter headline!.jpg
Winter headline!.jpg (49.42 KiB) Viewed 1573 times
It might be difficult to forecast the long term weather in advance, but we can with absolute certainty forecast what the Express headline is going to be :lol:

Tom2006
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Location: East Yorkshire UK

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by Tom2006 » Sun Nov 17, 2013 9:48 pm

The Express is just a waste of paper when it continues to produce these sorts of headlines. HOWEVER, just as they can't predict this sort of winter, sadly, although extremely unlikely, no one can rule it out either. 1947 didn't really get going until January. Thankfully we have global warming due to climate change to help us out. icon_thumright
Most wanted list - Any Young Trachycarpus and/or fern.

Kristen

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by Kristen » Sun Nov 17, 2013 9:55 pm

stephenprudence wrote:we can with absolute certainty forecast what the Express headline is going to be
Priceless! :lol:

Kristen

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by Kristen » Sun Nov 17, 2013 9:57 pm

Tom2006 wrote:just as they can't predict this sort of winter, sadly, although extremely unlikely, no one can rule it out either.
The Express forecasts it every year. I think we can rule that out !!

fern Rob

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by fern Rob » Fri Nov 22, 2013 12:00 pm

I will invest in some more fleece.

cordyman

Re: Winter like 1947 threatened ,how likely?

Post by cordyman » Fri Nov 22, 2013 1:53 pm

Rob have you read the thread.?

Lol. Express forecast is worth toilet paper.

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