First Air Frost of 2014 for some? (14/02 - 18/02)?

otorongo
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by otorongo » Wed Jan 29, 2014 12:54 pm

Today is the coldest day so far, the next few days are forecast to be warmer.


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madgav
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by madgav » Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:57 pm

The pattern that has dominated since mid-Dec hasn't brought particularly mild weather to us in the north west. But it has been average, and that's almost as good :)
The first half of December was very mild here, which led to a mild month overall, but January looks like coming in about average, maybe even slightly below.
Perhaps the most remarkable thing since mid-Dec (apart from the rain) has been how little daily variation there has been from the seasonal norm.
Zone 9a (1992-2013). Last 21 winters: 9b (16), 9a (1), 8b (3), 8a (1)
Average annual min/max: -4.3°C (24°F) / 26.5°C (80°F)
Absolute extremes (1992-2013): -11.6°C/11.0°F, 31.0°C/87.8°F
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cordyman
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by cordyman » Thu Jan 30, 2014 7:31 am

Low of 3.8, no frost icon_cheers

The Atlantic is unstoppable!


Tom2006
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by Tom2006 » Thu Jan 30, 2014 9:21 am

It has been a quality winter in terms of lack of cold. In fact I can remember few like it. We haven't even had a flake of sleet so far! Spring is just around the corner folks!
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otorongo
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by otorongo » Thu Jan 30, 2014 9:28 am

If this forecast is anything to go by, I'm happy with the outlook icon_thumleft
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/ ... NOREGION=1


Tom2006
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by Tom2006 » Thu Jan 30, 2014 9:33 am

Put it this way. I think the Samaritans are unable to cope with all the weather forums depression! .....a good sign for us.
Most wanted list - Any Young Trachycarpus and/or fern.


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sanatic1234
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by sanatic1234 » Thu Jan 30, 2014 9:54 am

Today is my coldest day 3c all day. :-( no doubt a frost if this rain clears by tonight.
Best regards Aaron :)

Summer 2013 was a good one :-).

http://s1006.photobucket.com/home/sanat ... entuploads


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stephenprudence
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by stephenprudence » Thu Jan 30, 2014 10:21 am

A mix of fortune and circumstance have allowed us to stay relatively mild and frost free. We still have the whole of February which could highlight our complacency but whilst there will be more frost in February than probably the entire winter so far, there's nothing bad coming if we skip through this period.
Heswall, Wirral, UK
USDA equivalent average temperature zone: 9a/RHS zone 3
AHS Heat Zone: 1
Last 5 winter minimums:
2007: -0.1C, 2008: -4.2C, 2009: -5.7C, 2010: -10.5 (record), 2011: -4.9C, 2012: -5.3, 2013: -4.5C (so far)


otorongo
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by otorongo » Thu Jan 30, 2014 11:12 am

What makes you think there will be more frost in Feb?

I *feel* it will be a mild SW setup icon_sunny


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stephenprudence
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by stephenprudence » Thu Jan 30, 2014 11:59 am

It wouldn't be difficult :lol:

We've had no air frost in January (maybe 1 tonight but that's all), only 1 air frost in December).. That's 1 air frost all Winter so far.. how can that not be beaten? :shock:
Heswall, Wirral, UK
USDA equivalent average temperature zone: 9a/RHS zone 3
AHS Heat Zone: 1
Last 5 winter minimums:
2007: -0.1C, 2008: -4.2C, 2009: -5.7C, 2010: -10.5 (record), 2011: -4.9C, 2012: -5.3, 2013: -4.5C (so far)


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cordyman
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by cordyman » Thu Jan 30, 2014 12:55 pm

stephenprudence wrote:It wouldn't be difficult :lol:

We've had no air frost in January (maybe 1 tonight but that's all), only 1 air frost in December).. That's 1 air frost all Winter so far.. how can that not be beaten? :shock:
Ha ha those are mind boggling stats :shock:


otorongo
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by otorongo » Thu Jan 30, 2014 1:05 pm

We had one frost in November, and none in December or January.

By the looks of it, a frost-free Feb is not that unlikely.


Nigel
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by Nigel » Thu Jan 30, 2014 1:11 pm

otorongo wrote:We had one frost in November, and none in December or January.

By the looks of it, a frost-free Feb is not that unlikely.
One light autumnal frost here in bristol too, winter is so far frost free.
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cordyman
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by cordyman » Thu Jan 30, 2014 1:16 pm

I certainly hope we're not being setup for a sting in the tail with a cold spring when nature re balances itself!!

Super dry summer and autumn, made up by wet mild winter, missing cold to appear in spring? Seasons 2 to 3 months out of sync?


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sanatic1234
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Re: General Potential for Cold increasing.

Post by sanatic1234 » Thu Jan 30, 2014 2:46 pm

I can not say when all my frost were but I know I have had over 7 frosts definitely this winter. Not bad ones where they take some time to clear, I think harsh ones only about 2 may be 3.
Best regards Aaron :)

Summer 2013 was a good one :-).

http://s1006.photobucket.com/home/sanat ... entuploads


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